If Crewe and Nantwich were repeated nationally ....

If the Crewe and Nantwich result were repeated nationally (which of course it won't be), the excellent Electoral Calculus site (enter yesterday's figures in the 'Make your prediction' page) suggests a Conservative majority of 228 seats in Parliament. The unlucky Labour losers would include some of the best known names in Zanu Labour:

Aberconwy	CON	gain from	LAB	: Betty Williams
Aberdeen South	CON	gain from	LAB	: Anne Begg
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	CON	gain from	LIB	: Sir Robert Smith
Amber Valley	CON	gain from	LAB	: Judy Mallaber
Angus	CON	gain from	NAT	: Michael Weir
Arfon	NAT	gain from	LAB	: Unknown (changed seat)
Argyll and Bute	CON	gain from	LIB	: Alan Reid
Ashfield	CON	gain from	LAB	: Geoff Hoon
Barrow and Furness	CON	gain from	LAB	: John Hutton
Basildon South and East Thurrock	CON	gain from	LAB	: Angela Smith
Bassetlaw	CON	gain from	LAB	: John Mann
Bath	CON	gain from	LIB	: Don Foster
Batley and Spen	CON	gain from	LAB	: Mike Wood
Battersea	CON	gain from	LAB	: Martin Linton
Bedford	CON	gain from	LAB	: Patrick Hall
Berwick-upon-Tweed	CON	gain from	LIB	: Alan Beith
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk	CON	gain from	LIB	: Michael Moore
Birmingham Edgbaston	CON	gain from	LAB	: Gisela Stuart
Birmingham Hall Green	CON	gain from	LAB	: Roger Godsiff
Birmingham Northfield	CON	gain from	LAB	: Richard Burden
Birmingham Selly Oak	CON	gain from	LAB	: Stephen McCabe
Blackburn	CON	gain from	LAB	: Jack Straw
Blackpool North and Cleveleys	CON	gain from	LAB	: Joan Humble
Blackpool South	CON	gain from	LAB	: Gordon Marsden
Bolton North East	CON	gain from	LAB	: David Crausby
Bolton West	CON	gain from	LAB	: Ruth Kelly
Bradford South	CON	gain from	LAB	: Gerry Sutcliffe
Bradford West	CON	gain from	LAB	: Marsha Singh
Brecon and Radnorshire	CON	gain from	LIB	: Roger Williams
Brent North	CON	gain from	LAB	: Barry Gardiner
Brentford and Isleworth	CON	gain from	LAB	: Ann Keen
Bridgend	CON	gain from	LAB	: Madeleine Moon
Brigg and Goole	CON	gain from	LAB	: Ian Cawsey
Brighton Kemptown	CON	gain from	LAB	: Desmond Turner
Brighton Pavilion	CON	gain from	LAB	: David Lepper
Bristol East	CON	gain from	LAB	: Kerry McCarthy
Bristol North West	CON	gain from	LAB	: Doug Naysmith
Bristol West	CON	gain from	LIB	: Stephen Williams
Broxtowe	CON	gain from	LAB	: Nick Palmer
Burnley	CON	gain from	LAB	: Kitty Ussher
Burton	CON	gain from	LAB	: Janet Dean
Bury North	CON	gain from	LAB	: David Chaytor
Calder Valley	CON	gain from	LAB	: Christine McCafferty
Camborne and Redruth	CON	gain from	LIB	: Julia Goldsworthy
Cambridge	CON	gain from	LIB	: David Howarth
Cannock Chase	CON	gain from	LAB	: Tony Wright
Cardiff North	CON	gain from	LAB	: Julie Morgan
Cardiff South and Penarth	CON	gain from	LAB	: Alun Michael
Cardiff West	CON	gain from	LAB	: Kevin Brennan
Carlisle	CON	gain from	LAB	: Eric Martlew
Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire South	CON	gain from	LAB	: Nick Ainger
Carshalton and Wallington	CON	gain from	LIB	: Tom Brake
Ceredigion	NAT	gain from	LIB	: Mark Williams
Chatham and Aylesford	CON	gain from	LAB	: Jonathan Shaw
Cheadle	CON	gain from	LIB	: Patsy Calton
Cheltenham	CON	gain from	LIB	: Martin Horwood
Chester, City of	CON	gain from	LAB	: Christine Russell
Chippenham	CON	gain from	LIB	: Unknown (new seat)
Chorley	CON	gain from	LAB	: Lindsay Hoyle
Cleethorpes	CON	gain from	LAB	: Shona McIsaac
Clwyd South	CON	gain from	LAB	: Martyn Jones
Colchester	CON	gain from	LIB	: Bob Russell
Colne Valley	CON	gain from	LAB	: Kali Mountford
Copeland	CON	gain from	LAB	: Jamie Reed
Corby	CON	gain from	LAB	: Phil Hope
Cornwall North	CON	gain from	LIB	: Dan Rogerson
Cornwall South East	CON	gain from	LIB	: Colin Breed
Coventry North West	CON	gain from	LAB	: Geoffrey Robinson
Coventry South	CON	gain from	LAB	: Jim Cunningham
Crawley	CON	gain from	LAB	: Laura Moffatt
Crewe and Nantwich	CON	gain from	LAB	: Gwyneth Dunwoody
Croydon Central	CON	gain from	LAB	: Unknown (changed seat)
Dagenham and Rainham	CON	gain from	LAB	: Jon Cruddas
Dartford	CON	gain from	LAB	: Howard Stoate
Delyn	CON	gain from	LAB	: David Hanson
Derby North	CON	gain from	LAB	: Bob Laxton
Derbyshire North East	CON	gain from	LAB	: Natascha Engel
Derbyshire South	CON	gain from	LAB	: Mark Todd
Devon North	CON	gain from	LIB	: Nick Harvey
Devon West and Torridge	CON	gain from	LIB	: Unknown (changed seat)
Dewsbury	CON	gain from	LAB	: Shahid Malik
Dorset Mid and Poole North	CON	gain from	LIB	: Annette Brooke
Dorset South	CON	gain from	LAB	: Jim Knight
Dover	CON	gain from	LAB	: Gwyn Prosser
Dudley North	CON	gain from	LAB	: Ian Austin
Dudley South	CON	gain from	LAB	: Ian Pearson
Dulwich and West Norwood	CON	gain from	LAB	: Tessa Jowell
Dumfries and Galloway	CON	gain from	LAB	: Russell Brown
Dunbartonshire East	CON	gain from	LIB	: Jo Swinson
Ealing Central and Acton	CON	gain from	LAB	: Andrew Slaughter
Ealing North	CON	gain from	LAB	: Stephen Pound
Eastleigh	CON	gain from	LIB	: Christopher Huhne
Edinburgh North and Leith	CON	gain from	LAB	: Mark Lazarowicz
Edinburgh South	CON	gain from	LAB	: Nigel Griffiths
Edinburgh South West	CON	gain from	LAB	: Alistair Darling
Ellesmere Port and Neston	CON	gain from	LAB	: Andrew Miller
Elmet and Rothwell	CON	gain from	LAB	: Colin Burgon
Eltham	CON	gain from	LAB	: Clive Efford
Erewash	CON	gain from	LAB	: Liz Blackman
Exeter	CON	gain from	LAB	: Ben Bradshaw
Feltham and Heston	CON	gain from	LAB	: Alan Keen
Gedling	CON	gain from	LAB	: Vernon Coaker
Gloucester	CON	gain from	LAB	: Parmjit Dhanda
Gower	CON	gain from	LAB	: Martin Caton
Great Grimsby	CON	gain from	LAB	: Austin Mitchell
Great Yarmouth	CON	gain from	LAB	: Tony Wright
Guildford	CON	gain from	LIB	: Unknown (changed seat)
Halesowen and Rowley Regis	CON	gain from	LAB	: Sylvia Heal
Halifax	CON	gain from	LAB	: Linda Riordan
Hammersmith	CON	gain from	LAB	: Unknown (changed seat)
Hampstead and Kilburn	CON	gain from	LIB	: Unknown (changed seat)
Harlow	CON	gain from	LAB	: Bill Rammell
Harrogate and Knaresborough	CON	gain from	LIB	: Phil Willis
Harrow East	CON	gain from	LAB	: Tony McNulty
Harrow West	CON	gain from	LAB	: Gareth Thomas
Hastings and Rye	CON	gain from	LAB	: Michael Foster
Hazel Grove	CON	gain from	LIB	: Andrew Stunell
Hendon	CON	gain from	LAB	: Andrew Dismore
Hereford and South Herefordshire	CON	gain from	LIB	: Paul Keetch
High Peak	CON	gain from	LAB	: Tom Levitt
Holborn and St Pancras	CON	gain from	LAB	: Frank Dobson
Hove	CON	gain from	LAB	: Celia Barlow
Huddersfield	CON	gain from	LAB	: Barry Sheerman
Hyndburn	CON	gain from	LAB	: Greg Pope
Ilford South	CON	gain from	LAB	: Mike Gapes
Ipswich	CON	gain from	LAB	: Chris Mole
Keighley	CON	gain from	LAB	: Ann Cryer
Kingston and Surbiton	CON	gain from	LIB	: Edward Davey
Kingswood	CON	gain from	LAB	: Roger Berry
Lancashire West	CON	gain from	LAB	: Rosie Cooper
Lancaster and Fleetwood	CON	gain from	LAB	: Unknown (changed seat)
Leeds North East	CON	gain from	LAB	: Fabian Hamilton
Leeds North West	CON	gain from	LAB	: Unknown (changed seat)
Leicester South	CON	gain from	LAB	: Peter Soulsby
Leicestershire North West	CON	gain from	LAB	: David Taylor
Lewes	CON	gain from	LIB	: Norman Baker
Lewisham East	CON	gain from	LAB	: Bridget Prentice
Lewisham West and Penge	CON	gain from	LAB	: Jim Dowd
Leyton and Wanstead	CON	gain from	LAB	: Harry Cohen
Lincoln	CON	gain from	LAB	: Gillian Merron
Loughborough	CON	gain from	LAB	: Andy Reed
Luton North	CON	gain from	LAB	: Kelvin Hopkins
Luton South	CON	gain from	LAB	: Margaret Moran
Manchester Withington	LAB	gain from	LIB	: John Leech
Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East	CON	gain from	LAB	: Ashok Kumar
Milton Keynes North	CON	gain from	LAB	: Unknown (changed seat)
Milton Keynes South	CON	gain from	LAB	: Phyllis Starkey
Montgomeryshire	CON	gain from	LIB	: Lembit Opik
Moray	CON	gain from	NAT	: Angus Robertson
Morecambe and Lunesdale	CON	gain from	LAB	: Geraldine Smith
Newcastle-under-Lyme	CON	gain from	LAB	: Paul Farrelly
Newport East	CON	gain from	LAB	: Jessica Morden
Newport West	CON	gain from	LAB	: Paul Flynn
Newton Abbot	CON	gain from	LIB	: Richard Younger-Ross
Norfolk North	CON	gain from	LIB	: Norman Lamb
Northampton North	CON	gain from	LAB	: Sally Keeble
Northampton South	CON	gain from	LAB	: Unknown (changed seat)
Norwich North	CON	gain from	LAB	: Ian Gibson
Norwich South	CON	gain from	LAB	: Charles Clarke
Nottingham East	CON	gain from	LAB	: John Heppell
Nottingham South	CON	gain from	LAB	: Alan Simpson
Nuneaton	CON	gain from	LAB	: Bill Olner
Ochil and South Perthshire	CON	gain from	LAB	: Gordon Banks
Oldham East and Saddleworth	CON	gain from	LAB	: Phil Woolas
Oxford East	CON	gain from	LAB	: Andrew Smith
Oxford West and Abingdon	CON	gain from	LIB	: Evan Harris
Pendle	CON	gain from	LAB	: Gordon Prentice
Perth and North Perthshire	CON	gain from	NAT	: Peter Wishart
Plymouth Moor View	CON	gain from	LAB	: Alison Seabeck
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport	CON	gain from	LAB	: Linda Gilroy
Poplar and Limehouse	CON	gain from	LAB	: Jim Fitzpatrick
Portsmouth North	CON	gain from	LAB	: Sarah McCarthy-Fry
Portsmouth South	CON	gain from	LIB	: Mike Hancock
Pudsey	CON	gain from	LAB	: Paul Truswell
Reading West	CON	gain from	LAB	: Martin Salter
Redditch	CON	gain from	LAB	: Jacqui Smith
Renfrewshire East	CON	gain from	LAB	: Jim Murphy
Ribble South	CON	gain from	LAB	: David Borrow
Richmond Park	CON	gain from	LIB	: Susan Kramer
Rochdale	LAB	gain from	LIB	: Paul Rowen
Romsey and Southampton North	CON	gain from	LIB	: Sandra Gidley
Rossendale and Darwen	CON	gain from	LAB	: Janet Anderson
Sefton Central	CON	gain from	LAB	: Claire Curtis-Thomas
Sheffield Hallam	CON	gain from	LIB	: Nick Clegg
Sherwood	CON	gain from	LAB	: Paddy Tipping
Slough	CON	gain from	LAB	: Fiona Mactaggart
Solihull	CON	gain from	LIB	: Lorely Burt
Somerset North East	CON	gain from	LAB	: Dan Norris
Somerton and Frome	CON	gain from	LIB	: David Heath
Southampton Itchen	CON	gain from	LAB	: John Denham
Southampton Test	CON	gain from	LAB	: Alan Whitehead
Southport	CON	gain from	LIB	: John Pugh
St Austell and Newquay	CON	gain from	LIB	: Unknown (new seat)
St Ives	CON	gain from	LIB	: Andrew George
Stafford	CON	gain from	LAB	: David Kidney
Stalybridge and Hyde	CON	gain from	LAB	: James Purnell
Stevenage	CON	gain from	LAB	: Barbara Follett
Stirling	CON	gain from	LAB	: Anne McGuire
Stockton South	CON	gain from	LAB	: Dari Taylor
Stourbridge	CON	gain from	LAB	: Lynda Waltho
Stroud	CON	gain from	LAB	: David Drew
Sunderland Central	CON	gain from	LAB	: Bill Etherington
Sutton and Cheam	CON	gain from	LIB	: Paul Burstow
Swindon North	CON	gain from	LAB	: Michael Wills
Swindon South	CON	gain from	LAB	: Anna Snelgrove
Tamworth	CON	gain from	LAB	: Brian Jenkins
Taunton Deane	CON	gain from	LIB	: Jeremy Browne
Telford	CON	gain from	LAB	: David Wright
Thornbury and Yate	CON	gain from	LIB	: Steve Webb
Thurrock	CON	gain from	LAB	: Andrew Mackinlay
Tooting	CON	gain from	LAB	: Sadiq Khan
Torbay	CON	gain from	LIB	: Adrian Sanders
Truro and Falmouth	CON	gain from	LIB	: Matthew Taylor
Twickenham	CON	gain from	LIB	: Vincent Cable
Tynemouth	CON	gain from	LAB	: Alan Campbell
Vale of Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	: Chris Ruane
Vale of Glamorgan	CON	gain from	LAB	: John Smith
Wakefield	CON	gain from	LAB	: Mary Creagh
Walsall North	CON	gain from	LAB	: David Winnick
Walsall South	CON	gain from	LAB	: Bruce George
Warrington South	CON	gain from	LAB	: Helen Southworth
Warwick and Leamington	CON	gain from	LAB	: James Plaskitt
Warwickshire North	CON	gain from	LAB	: Mike O'Brien
Watford	CON	gain from	LAB	: Claire Ward
Waveney	CON	gain from	LAB	: Bob Blizzard
Weaver Vale	CON	gain from	LAB	: Mike Hall
Westminster North	CON	gain from	LAB	: Karen Buck
Westmorland and Lonsdale	CON	gain from	LIB	: Tim Farron
Winchester	CON	gain from	LIB	: Mark Oaten
Wirral South	CON	gain from	LAB	: Ben Chapman
Wolverhampton South West	CON	gain from	LAB	: Robert Marris
Worcester	CON	gain from	LAB	: Michael Foster
Wyre Forest	CON	gain from	MIN	: Dr Richard Taylor
Yeovil	CON	gain from	LIB	: David Laws
Ynys Mon	NAT	gain from	LAB	: Albert Owen
York Outer	CON	gain from	LIB	: Unknown (changed seat)