Wednesday, 4 November 2009

Power slips from Cameron's hands

This afternoon's announcement by Cameron on his revised approach to giving the British people a say on Europe could be the important of his political career. His voter base is people who want to get rid of Labour rather than people who want to see Dave in Number Ten. To prevent this fragile promise of power from slipping from his hands, Cameron must make a clear and unambiguous commitment to allowing the people of Britain to determine their own European future.

The grass roots of the Conservative party are not happy either. North Norfolk Tories, dubbed the 'Turnip Taliban' by metropolitan Statists, are in open revolt at the prospect of one of Dave's 'A' List slappers pretending to represent them. Cameron's embrace of Localism doesn't extend to the primacy of local associations, it seems.

Meanwhile Ian Blair, Jacqui Smith and Michael Martin are all taking advantage of their unemployed status to appear more human and less culpable in a series of well-publicised reflections on their decline and fall.

All of these mean that Cameron is less powerful today than he was last week, his options more limited and his support more fragile. Yet he still prefers to balance on the tightrope than plant his feet on a soapbox; perhaps the time is not yet right, perhaps he's holding his fire. There's a long time between now and next May, and if UKIP get their act together they could well divide Cameron's vote at the polling booth.

There's everything still to play for.


Weekend Yachtsman said...

I agree.

And, much as it pains me to say it, if his promises are as worthless as they now appear to be, we might as well just give Broon five more years.

After all, Brussels will be running everything anyway, whoever we vote for, so what's the point?

As for UKIP, they may not even exist by the time of the election; NuLab are in the process of destroying them via the courts, and if that doesn't work, there are all sorts of nice things in the pipeline like huge rises in electoral deposits, etc.

Maybe I'll sign up for the Green Card lottery.

Brian E. said...

If his promises are as worthless as those given by politicians of other parties, eg his "cast iron guarantee" on a referendum, what is the point of voting as you can't believe a word that any of them say.
I imagine that many potential Tory voters will support UKIP, even knowing that this will probably let in Labour. After all, with Cameron reneging on his promise and Osborne showing little real grasp of the financial realities, I cant see any real difference between the two main parties.

Chrysippus said...

I think that the main problem for Norfolk was that she was having sex with other than a close relation.

Budgie said...

It does seem odd, as others have observed, that the Tories do not seem to have thought this through. Both short term - the final ratification of Lisbon - and long term - the EU's persistent power grab - the Tories still don't get it.

The basic logic of the UKIP (and other small parties) is that getting all 26 other EU members to renegotiate will be almost impossible; that reforming, or even stopping the expansion of, the EU has proved impossible in 37 years, so the only option is to get out.

It is possible that one day the Tory leadership will catch up with this, but I have given up with them.

Anonymous said...

"...Cameron must make a clear and unambiguous commitment to allowing the people of Britain to determine their own European future. "

Well he aready did that, didn't he?

And then went back on it.

So why would we pay any attention next time?

Correct - we won't.

Anonymous said...

It is becoming increasingly clear that our choice at the next election will be whether we want our shit sandwich with brown, white or wholemeal bread.

Brian, follower of Deornoth

Demetrius said...

It is all going to get very messy, and it is possible that Election 2010 will be a full scale fiasco that will only add to all our problems.

Budgie said...

I have some sympathy for Cameron because having a referendum may be good gesture politics but it won't affect the legal position of the UK within the EU one jot.

Where I have no sympathy for him is that the Tories have had 2 years to think this through and haven't. They have stuck their fingers in their ears and shouted la-la-la-la rather than have an adult debate about the EU.

Looking at his speech gives us no more answers either. Cameron's claim that he can ensure UK laws are supreme, is ignorant drivel. Lisbon ensures EU law is superior and we have accepted that (legally). So it is now impossible for him to reverse that because he must work within the legal framework created by Lisbon.

Nor can Cameron stop further power shifts to the EU. First these shifts are usually accomplished surreptitiously so would be difficult to make into a definite issue; and second Lisbon is 'self amending' (and since we are already signed up to Lisbon) so Cameron's attempt would be illegal because it would limit what we have already conceded to Brussels.

No, the only way out of all these legal restrictions that will prevent Cameron carrying out his claims is to get out of the EU. Is Cameron therefore stupid or is he part of the EU trickery? Either way a Tory vote results in more EU.