As predicted, the detail of the Opinium survey appeared on their website late enough yesterday not to spoil the Observer's story and too late to allow the other dailies to do a decent job of analysis (though the Mail has a half-arsed go HERE)
A couple of things most of you know already but it's nice to have confirmed; the young are likely to be pro-EU and the old anti-EU, but the old are far more likely to vote; the Euphiles feel less strongly about staying than the Euphobes do about leaving (28% of 50% 'strongly' to go, 17% of 36% 'strongly' to stay), and big business is keener on the EU than small business (being better able to afford the cost of regulation gives them competitive advantage)
And of course the best bits are always in the appendices rather than in the conclusions that the report commissioners draw for you. The most glaring omission in the available choices for the questions "biggest benefits / drawbacks of EU membership" was a choice of pooled sovereignty / loss of sovereignty - and as usual respondents then pick the nearest alternatives - in this case foreign affairs / policy and environmental policy / laws. Given this glaring omission, the poll confirms that Brits think that free, tariff-free trade is the biggest benefit of EU membership whilst loss of control of our own country is the biggest drawback.
It's in the responses to one question that has been ignored both by Observer journos and Opinium analysts that the truth behind Churchill's words on the UK's place in Europe becomes clear. Respondents were asked to name things / events from their countries past of which they were most proud; the Germans said reunification, the French said the 1789 revolution, the Poles said leaving the Soviet Union but the Brits said our monarchy and our military prowess. Germans value their culture (though it's not clear whether this is Schiller, Goethe and Heine or Bratties and the Oktoberfest) and the efficiency with which they rebuilt after the war, the French value the Rights of Man and democracy, the Poles value their identity and character but we value our industrial history. They're all new countries with a history of losing wars, we're an ancient kingdom with a history of winning them. They lay claim to the virtues of the Enlightenment, we lay claim to the Enlightenment's scientific and technical advance - the coal, iron, steel and engineering that lifted the whole of Europe from 18th century serfdom to 19th century demos.
And for their closest chums, they all look inside Europe - naming Belgium (France), Austria (Germany) and Germany / the UK (Poland) - whilst we look over the great ocean to pick the US.
For me, the survey confirms that we are a European nation but not a nation of Europe; we are of Europe but not in it. We are fixed and unmoving, whilst they, with all their fluid borders, ethnographic pockets, revolutions and internal wars, are a big squabbly mix far, far better off as a federation of a hundred baby statelets than as a score of separate nations. And that's why we must leave.