It's a long time to May, and anything could happen between now and then in a political landscape in which all the old certainties have gone. Iain Dale in the Indie makes just about the best guess I have seen for the election outcome (provided that everything stays the same);
There's an old saw that tells us that whatever the state of the parties six months prior to an election will be the likely outcome; if this is the case, then Iain's punt may well be right. It feels right, anyway. However, the world is far from being in a stable phase; Jihadism, the global econony, Europe, Oil, the Islamic civil war, Ukraine. One can imagine a host of scenarios that would leave the government on the back foot, expose past political corruption / criminal malfeasance, or turn the people even more against politics the they are now. Mass terrorist outrages could even leave us with that dreaded spectre - Emergency Powers, with the election suspended, and Ed and Harriet in a War Cabinet and the army cooks from Aldershot on the street in body armour.
And another election in September. Which coincidentally is the 200th anniversary of the British (and German, Belgian and Austrian) final victory over Napoleon and his European imperial ambitions. If you haven't yet ordered your free bronze waterloo medal replica (£2.50 postage) I urge you to do so; it's a lovely chunky thing, beautifully struck and very true to the original.