- Any return of Crimea to Ukraine is a no-no. Crimea will be defended in the same way as all other Russian soil, with weapons including nuclear if necessary.
- Further NATO arms to Ukraine will provoke an escalated Russian military response - more 'green men' and more Russian arms
- Russia will not abandon Russian minorities in the Baltic states, but will not use 'green men' or supply arms.
The final point is one worth watching. At the end of WWII peoples of German descent living outside of Germany's boundaries, sometimes for many hundreds of years, in Bohemia, Moravia, east Prussia, Poland and the Baltics were 'ethnically cleansed' in ways as brutal as anything the Nazis did. A surviving film clip (if you can bear the horror) alerts us that not only Germans are capable of crimes against humanity. Since the wall came down, ethnic Russians in the Baltics have had a very hard time, discriminated against in civil life, excluded from employment, health and education, all in an effort to get them to leave. Since 1989, and particularly since 2004, about three quarters of a million have done so, leaving about a million still with lives and homes there. Many of the 'Natashas' here in London are ethnic Russians with post-accession EU passports from the Baltics.
Russia's position is lucid and succinct, and even if we don't agree with her, we can't claim we don't know where the red lines now stand, and the response we will provoke if we cross them.