With the deadline fast approaching for visa-free travel into the EU for 70m Turks, both sides are pushing to implement the parts of the deal they want whilst ignoring the very cogent reasons that mean the deal can't go ahead.
First are Turkish passports themselves. The 10-year 'biometric' passports issued since 2010 are simply not encrypted to EU and international standards, and are easy to forge. New passports encoded to EU standards are not due to start coming on stream until October 2016, giving the forgers a golden window of opportunity and giving Sunni Islamist terrorists an open door into Europe. Secondly, the passports are issued by the deeply-corrupt Turkish Police - who are complicit both in extra-judicial murder, support of Isis and in encouraging mass human trafficking in exchange for bribes, not to mention ignoring Erdogan's family's oil importation from ISIS. It is impossible not to conclude that even now corrupt Turkish police officers are selling scores if not hundreds of passports to Islamist killers from throughout the region.
Second are the so-called 'roadmap conditions', under which Turkey pretends to be a democracy and the EU pretends to believe it. However, Erdogan's increasingly repressive domestic measures, including his involvement in the attempted murder yesterday of the journalist who published pictures of Turkish army trucks taking arms supplies to ISIS (in return for Erdogan's Oil), makes the mutual self-deception difficult to achieve; in particular:-
- Adopting anti-corruption measures; Hard when Erdogan himself is so deeply mired in criminal activity and corruption in public life is endemic and reaches from police brigadiers down to hairy constables taking bribes from dingy-smugglers.
- Aligning data protection with EU standards; laughable; even central American dictatorships have greater protection for citizen data privacy than Turkey
- Concluding an operational agreement with Europol; Difficult to achieve full disclosure when a third of Turkey's police are themselves on Europol's criminal watch-lists; Turkey will also want to use Europol intelligence to track down and kill Erdogan's political opponents taking refuge in Europe
- Offering effective criminal co-operation with all EU states; Currently North Cyprus is full of criminals, killers and drug dealers hiding from UK justice with the full protection of Turkey. Turkish drug gangs run London's heroin trade - and use Turkey's protection to run to every time it gets too hot.
- Revising anti-terrorist custom and practice to EU criteria and practice; Erdogan is currently pursuing a policy of intimidation by death-squads, civil persecution, unlawful imprisonment and illegal and corrupt prosecutions against minorities opposed to his Islamist dictatorship. He can never agree to this.
The EU is begging Turkey to put up enough of a PR 'blind' to allow it to pretend with a shred of dignity that Turkey is a European democracy. In doing so, it is following a road map drawn by a dodgy Satnav that is leading Europe off the edge of a precipice.