Thursday, 6 March 2014

Ukraine needs elections

Sergei Lavrov must be tempted, when faced with the 'acting Prime Minister' and 'acting President' of the Ukrainian revolutionaries hand in hand with a trio of EU commissioners  to ask them all 'Who chose you?'. Lenin's question to Kerensky could not be more apt than for the self-selected representatives of the Maidan and those unelected EU officials.

What Ukraine needs more than anything is democracy. It's not a process recognised as desirable by Brussels, which views voters and elections as an inconvenient irrelevance on its zealous march to European Federalism. Far better to leave things to the unelected experts from Belgium and Luxembourg. And Cathy Ashton. If there really is a real groundswell of opinion in the Crimea in favour of secession, which I doubt, then of ourse they should have a referendum; they could use the Scots question as a model. And all of Ukraine should have the chance now to vote for a new President and new representatives in Parliament as a matter of great urgency.

However, what the EU and the US are trying to do is to secure deals with the temporary revolutionaries in Kiev that will bind any legitimate government that follows; Von Rompuy's sparse cowlick thatch is blowing all-ways as he runs about on his little legs with an EU Association agreement, a biro and €10bn in Euroslave loans looking for someone to sign.

For the West to steamroller over Ukrainian democratic outcomes in order to secure whet they see as a territorial victory will only postpone any settlement of the contentious issues dividing the country. Ukraine's future lies as a non-aligned bridge between east and west, democratic and inclusive, her territorial integrity supported by both NATO and the Russian Federation.


Weekend Yachtsman said...

Quite right.

And one could add, that if the EU secures an anti-democratic puppet government in Ukraine, all ready to push "its" people into the EU without the option, this will only strengthen Putin's hand.

After all, both he and Yanukovich can claim to have been democratically elected - after a fashion. Which is more than Rumpy etc can claim.

G. Tingey said...

Your loathing of the EU is blinding you to other, worse evils, I'm afraid.
However, it to be agreed that Ukraine needs elections _ & not one watched/monstered over by Putin's band of muscular thugs, either.
[ The deliberate roughing-up of a UN diplomat by Putin's men is not a hopeful sign, either. ]

Anonymous said...

There is the distinct whiff of common sense in what you say but as we know, sense is rare, rather than common, in the EU.

Coney Island

Anonymous said...

Well, Herr Shulz has arrived now so it'll be all over by Christmas.

Long live the Empire!


Keir said...

So the Russians have suddenly called for a referendum for anschluss in TEN DAYS- despite the chaos, fear and inability for any who would disagree to mobilise or prepare. Exactly, all but to the very day, that Germany did the same thing after its March invasion of Austria. Appalling. It might be noted that in the last election, the party of the current head of Crimea, Sergei Aksyonov, who was elevated to that position with the help of the Russian military, got only 4 percent of the vote. Looks like another Munich- give a dicator a slice of another country's territory despite having committed the country to defend it- according to the Budapest Memorandum of 1994, the U.S. and Britain are obliged to protect the territorial integrity of Ukraine. Fat chance.

Weekend Yachtsman said...

"...Britain [is] obliged to protect the territorial integrity of Ukraine"


Send an aircraft carrier that has no aircraft?

Threaten to stop buying Russian gas?

That flapping noise you hear is the chickens coming home to roost...

G. Tingey said...

I am horribly afraid that Putin is going to get away with it again.
In a year or two, after everything has normalised again, he'll do it again - unike Adolf, he takes his time.
However, it's easy to see the next step.
A border incident & "oppression & persecution of ethnic Russians" somewhere between Königsberg, Kybartu, Kaunus & Minsk.
And what will we do then?
Chechnya 2003.
Georgia 2008 - still occupied in part.
Transnistria/Moldove late 1990's.
Possible interference & destabilisation in Kyrgistan, too.

Putin's current term expires 2016 - so if he wants to expand Holy Mother Russia, further at the expense of the neighbours ...
He can: pull my suggestion in 2016, just before the (rigged) elections, or wait until about 2017 - I expect him to do the latter, but he could, this time, go for the earlier option.
Neither is a pleasant prospect.