The operation of Liquidated Damages is one of the first lessons anyone learns in Construction Contracts 101. The contract provision cannot operate in any way as a 'penalty clause' if it is to be enforceable; LADs must be a genuine pre-estimate of valuable loss and damage arising from the contractor's failure to complete by the due date. And this, I think, is a valuable lesson for the way in which we can use our EEZ after the end of the year.
One of the reasons why we are so determined not to give away any binding commitments to EU nations, and to stick to the granting of annual licences (which we can expect to slip to an offer of biannual in the final round of negotiations - which the EU may not want to take-up) is that the extent of any licence is wholly at the discretion of the UK. They're our waters.
However, we face challenges. One is illegal fishing and over-fishing by vessels from EU nations, or the use of vessels and methods of fishing which will be banned in UK waters. Drone surveillance and marine intelligence may inform us of offending, but enforcement action is costly. Not only the costs of patrol vessels with Royal Marines boarding parties, the costs of taking into custody offending boats and skippers, and of mounting prosecutions. It costs big money.
Then there is the failure by those same EU coastal states to control illegal migration from their nations to the UK - a failure amply demonstrated by Nigel Farage in recent weeks. Every migrant that France assists across the Channel comes with a lifetime cost - few of them will become net contributors. The TPA has estimated that net lifetime costs could be in the region £0.3m - £1m for each migrant. This, too, is a breach of our Exclusive Economic Zone - migration is an economic matter.
EU nations make big money from British fish. The FT reports that EU boats land more than 700,000 tonnes of fish from UK waters each year. Even if that figure reduces by half after licensing, it is still a very substantial sum.
And so we must consider a defaults system. A process for notifying breaches and defaults to the offending EU coastal state should be put in place - failures both by EU national governments to secure the EU border and breaches of fishing regulations by EU flagged vessels - with a mechanism for response and appeal to a UK tribunal. Any defaults accumulated during the course of a year would result in an appropriate reduction in licence quota for the following year - or two years, with biannual licences. The extent of reduction, like LADs, would be directly related to the estimated NPV of the cost of the breach, whether costs of maintaining migrants or the long-term depredations to fish stocks as an economic resource by illegal fishing, or the estimated costs of physical enforcement. A rubber boat full of illegal migrants may be valued at £10m, an illegal-mesh net £5m.
This is why the EU wants so much to secure a permanent legal right to fish in our waters. It would prevent us from implementing such a fair and reasonable licence condition. A properly formulated defaults system would stand up to challenges in both UK courts and international tribunals. Like LADs, such licence adjustments must be genuine pre-estimates of loss and damage.
The defaults scheme would also have beneficial consequences - EU fishing fleets would be motivated to take action themselves to prevent illegal migration in small boats; every raft let though by the French coastguard would cost them money. And EU national authorities would properly police their borders, as a failure to do so would result in lost votes and angry protests from a volatile fishing industry. It's win-win as far as I can see. And marine ecology and sustainable fishing would also be immeasurably improved - so even the Gretas could support it.
16 comments:
Good post Raedwald, seems very sensible and doable. For that reason the EU will accept nothing even remotely similar.
But Priti told us the other day that every illegal migrant escorted across the channel by the French Navy and the Border Farce was returned to France. Was she lying .... or was it code for "as soon as they claim asylum they are no longer classed and counted as illegal migrants?"
Other than that, your suggestion sounds very sensible from a British perspective, but outrageous from a French/EU one. So they won't accept it.
Dee Dee - France is trying to blackmail us by signalling that the Dublin agreement, under which they're returned, will no longer apply to the UK from next year. Fine. No return, we reduce their fish licence accordingly. If they accept them back after next year, no default notices.
"The EU must act responsibly".
Must?
Says who?
It will anyway, but your ideas of "responsible" have been shown to be rather comical in the recent past.
I've got a joke about a bridge I can sell you (called the Euro in case you hadn't worked it out)
Anon 10:14, "It will anyway, but your ideas of "responsible" have been shown to be rather comical in the recent past."
And examples of which you will now add? If you don't...well, the opinions of you here can't get much lower I guess...
The reality is that the EU will look after its own interests.
Many UK fishermen sold their fleets and rights to fish to foreign businesses (ask Michael Gove's dad). How will 'taking back control' work if you aren't going to expropriate those rights? Venezuelan Peoples Front?
@Anonymous
Are you Joe Biden?
Don't forget the animals
https://chemicalwatch.com/124443/uk-post-brexit-proposals-fail-to-allay-repeat-animal-test-concerns-ngo
@Mark
Simple speculation satisfies the simple mind
Not Joe
Of course. Stupid of me.
Old gropin Joe just sniffs hair. I don't want to know what you sniff.
Anon at 20.39.
AFAIK - Michael Goves dad was a fish merchant.
Last time I looked it's not the merchants who go out to sea to catch the fish, unless you have specialist knowledge stating otherwise?
Also as far as I know, fishermen sold off quota, which is for a specific period, its not in perpetuity.
@ Raedwald
Yes, I understand the French motives.
But Priti being economical with the actualite doesn't help. We know that all the illegal migrants aren't being returned to France - only about 6% have been. Her claim that they are is based on manipulation of data: as soon as they claim asylum status, they are no longer classified as illegal migrants. Obscuring the truth like this is seldom helpful in the long run.
Sensible though it is, I simply can't see the EU (ie the French) agreeing to the proposal you put forward.
HOW MANY TIMES?
The fishing fiasco is a SELF-INFLICTED WOUND.
We SOLD our fishing quotas to other EU countries, with a tory guvmint, because there was no money in it for the next 5 minutes.
STOP COMPLAINING
@Greg T
You're getting almost as wound up over the trivia of fish as the frogs.
Don't tell me, you'll threaten to blockade your own house next.
@Nessimmersion
"AFAIK" ... that suggests a closed mind. Perhaps you have all the education you need.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jun/15/michael-gove-father-company-eu-policies-fish-processing-aberdeen
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