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Sunday 30 June 2019

Moving the pieces for battle

The decisive battles of the Brexit war will be fought this year. If we're to win, we need everyone on board, and everyone pulling their weight. This weekend it's becoming clearer that the pieces are being moved on the board to allow a major Brexit offensive, including an autumn general election -

  • Boris is forming a war cabinet to deliver Brexit in 100 days
  • Sedwill is being moved and Robbins is expected to jump
  • Other mandarins out-of-tune with a Brexit government will also disappear
  • Arron banks / Leave EU are continuing to help cull Remainer Tory MPs
  • Farage is selecting PPCs and outlining an initial manifesto
No-one is talking openly yet, but the closer we get to a GE the greater the realisation that the Conservatives need to leave TBP a clear field in the old Labour heartlands outsides London. Some 148 currently Labour constituencies voted Leave - and these must be the first target of TBP where they have a chance of winning. Overall there are some 410 Leave-voting seats to around 240 Remain  constituencies.

Against us we have a Remain establishment and media looking to exploit every vulnerability, every knuckle-dragging social media embarrassment. The Leave side are also now catching up on playing the social-media archaeology game - as the outing of the hapless Maitlis' sock-puppet debate 'guests' demonstrates.

The end is within sight. Do not discount the Brexit Party gaining 30 or 40 seats in the GE from Labour - and being in coalition government with my Party before Christmas.

DO NOT screw it up.

Postscript
========
The most glorious day here - too hot in the Sun, but a chance to clean and tidy the workshop whilst listening to the England innings (216 for 3 at writing) free from BBC geoblocking on the superb  https://www.guerillacricket.com/schedule. Now a few carrots for the horses, who will welcome the rain tomorrow ..


24 comments:

Elby the Beserk said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Anonymous said...

Can a Boris government win a vote of confidence in Parliament ? There is still a majority of remainer MPs.

Don Cox

Dave_G said...


Interesting times indeed.

As much as I want to see Brexit resolved and/or the face of British politics changed irrevocably I still can't help feeling we are being led towards an outcome that still suits the Globalists rather than the electorate.

As they say, if voting meant anything they wouldn't allow it.

Raedwald said...

Don - as the Commons has scores of MPs who will lose their seats at a GE, perhaps the question is whether Boris can manage to lose a VoC to trigger a GE

DiscoveredJoys said...

@Anonymous

Can a Boris government win a vote of confidence in Parliament ? There is still a majority of remainer MPs.

Maybe yes, and maybe no. While there are some Remainer Conservatives who have threatened to support a no confidence vote, there are also some Leaver Labour that might abstain or vote to support the Conservatives.

And if Boris did lose a vote of no confidence he could choose a general Election date of, say, 7 November... after we had left the EU by default. Which would garner same support from the electorate, take away the fence that Labour straddle and probably limit the gains of the Brexit Party.

Of course it will be rather more messy than that!

Ed P said...

Moving Seditious Sedwill will certainly help - he's May's EU-controlled puppet-master, pushing their ridiculous Surrender Agreement. Good riddance!

Cheerful Edward said...

You're asking people, most of whom absolutely did screw up at the key moments of truth in their lives, not to screw up Raedwald. Well, good luck with that.

If they hadn't, on the other hand, then they would not occupy such demeaning positions in the world, and not be suckers for the nonsense that you peddle to give them someone other than themselves to blame.

Tut-tut.

Raedwald said...

Comment deleted - those who advocate political violence are not welcome here. We support democracy.

Anonymous said...

Strange, it's the Tory party that's betrayed us. But this expat Tory wants an alliance between it's main contender the Brexit Party and the Tory party - So the Tories don't lose seats.

How convenient.

Raedwald said...

This expat Tory will advocate anything that delivers Brexit - end of.

Smear and Sneer - it's all your lot have got left. You're intellectually bankrupt hobos, who believe in nothing and belong to nowhere. Make way for those of us who want the best for our nation and all of its people ...

Cheerful Edward said...

Raedwald, don't confuse bad things for people whom you hate with good things for yourself, eh?

That's where most of the Leave vote have been going wrong all their lives.

Mark said...

"Raedwald, don't confuse bad things for people whom you hate with good things for yourself, eh?"

"That's where most of the Leave vote have been going wrong all their lives".

You're confessing again.

Cheerful Edward said...

Wrong Mark.

I think that everyone should unite, to secure similar standard of living, pension provision, and the rest, that I enjoy.

Instead, they voted Tory and were deprived of those hopes.

Now some of them call for those who did not to be dragged down to their level too.

I'm Not Like You.

Mr Ecks said...


Cheesy--you and your scummy remainiac gang are reaching the end of your shabby treasonous road.

Time also for a treason tax--that takes 90+% of the income and capital of remainiac traitors like you and dumps you nicely in the Underclass. Where you can get a first hand view of what scum patronising middle class proggie trash like you really are. Say when you can't even afford to drown your sorrows with a drink--because sanctimonious pricks like you have Minimum Priced booze. Previously no prob to middle class well off left-trash--but in your new circs you will have to make your own moonshine.

No prob--you have been peddling moonshine for years now.

Mark said...

"Now some of them call for those who did not to be dragged down to their level too."

Damn it man, you don't even realise you're doing it!

Cheerful Edward said...

See what I mean, Mark?

Pol Pot came to power on that sort of thinking.

Mark said...

"Pol Pot came to power on that sort of thinking"

Well damn well stop thinking like that then!!!!!!!!

Raedwald said...

It won't work. It's so deeply deluded that reason simply doesn't penetrate. And it has no insight into its own condition.

Cascadian said...

Raedwald paints the glossiest possible result that the Conmen can expect in a future general election, I doubt it is achievable.
I hold any poll in very low regard, but all indications are that the Brexit party support is on a steep upward trajectory with the Conmen and Liebour both on a steep downward trajectory, each presently have +/- 20% of support from the electorate. The unknown is where these trajectories will eventually settle into some kind of indicator of the electorates choice.
A projection of 40 seats for Brexit Party from Liebour ONLY, could be and very likely is on the low end of estimates.
I have heard no discouraging words yet that the Brexit Party would contemplate a coalition with the Conmen, that is just wistful thinking. Given their politics (a trillion quid here-or-there for nebulous global warming nonsense) a coalition of Conmen and Liebour is much more likely. Therefore every Conmen seat is in play. I would remind commenters what happens when an electorate gets truly sick of BlueLiebour, the Canadian general election of 1993 election when an unpopular unelected female "conservative" Prime Minister entered the election with 156 seats and emerged with 2 (do any of the facts sound similar?) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1993_Canadian_federal_election
A vote for Conmen is a vote for Liebour.

RAC said...

I hope your right Cascadian. I was just reading a list of M.P.'s (all parties) who had betrayed their leave voting constituencies, it was a bit out of date couldn't find a current one, but I was aghast at the number. My view is that if they feel so strongly about it that they cannot carry out the wishes of the majority of their constituents the right thing to do is to resign.

RAC said...

I just spotted this paragraph somewhere else and with very little editing it would be very apt for Mays deliberately wasted three years.
"Perhaps by training, by habit or by unintended consequence, the DC proletariat have developed a system for themselves where the process itself as the end result. This allows them to wax philosophically about problems; but it is within the discussion of the problem itself where their industry exists. Solutions are not wanted because that stops the process."

Anonymous said...

Raedwald: "You're intellectually bankrupt hobos, ....."

My goodness, it takes something to cause my jaw to drop.


Raedwald: " who believe in nothing and belong to nowhere. "


The guy who left the UK because it was going to shite, says *I* who still lives there, belong nowhere!!


Raewald: " Make way for those of us who want the best for our nation and all of its people ... "

Your nation is Austria.

Cheerful Edward said...

It's knowing where to begin, really, isn't it, Anon?

At least Ecky seems to be British rather than American though. And he does relate to what I actually write.

I think that he'd quite like me, actually.

Anonymous said...

Rads

Thank you for the headsup to Guerila cricket site. They are discussing Sledging. No PC. Just terrific.

DP111